Arium has released a paper entitled The Best Laid Plans? Avoiding unintended consequences in public policymaking, with a foreword by the UK Drug Policy Commission. The paper outlines Arium’s work on unintended consequences and the pilot project on drug policy conducted with the UKDPC. The report discusses four recent cases of unintended consequences in the UK and the United States – NHS Accident and Emergency waiting times, Transparency in executive pay, Biofuel subsidies, and the US No Child Left Behind Act – examining the flawed assumptions and incomplete thinking that lie behind them. It also explores how such unintended consequences might have been anticipated and avoided, and introduces a new approach to systematic policy analysis and dependency modelling using Arium’s Risk Analysis Tool.
Arium’s approach has been piloted in the UK with the UKDPC. The UKDPC in their foreword to the paper say:
“Our hope is that this interim report will draw attention to what can be achieved through dependency modelling, and help to attract the funding that is needed to build on our pilot project with further research and development.”
Please do contact Robin Wilkinson (firstname.lastname@example.org) if you are interested in discussing collaboration or funding for the policy modelling project.